I found this interesting in a story I read....
Talking about Android 3, I have one more remark. There will be cheap Android phones, there will be a lot of them, phones that will cost $200, EUR200
Q. With Gingerbread?
No. Not Gingerbread, not 3. But 2.1/2.2. For all practical purposes we will get the split – light/old hardware, cheap phones – but old Android. Want to get maximum multimedia experience: Divx playback out of the box, support for heavy formats, lossless mp3 codecs – you have to buy powerful hardware.
Q. And the upgrades – will they be free, or paid?
Upgrades will be free. The thing is, that not everyone will be upgraded. Droid X could be upgraded, Samsung Galaxy S… But not everyone
So it looks like the Galaxy S will get gingerbread for sure. I assume it will run well on it. They also mentioned in the article something very curious...that 3.0 will be the last update to Android for 6-8 months and from there they will look to slow down updates to once a year or so. This is great news so that when you get a phone it does not become obsolete in a matter of a couple of months. Also Sense and motoblur and any other UI will not be needed on 3.0. They said it will still be used on lower end phones running 2.1 and 2.2. So to me I am looking at hardware and what is the best available instead of what type of UI the phone has. Therefore if the galaxy s gets great reviews that will be my next purchase. I am sure we will have time to see how it does as Verizon, Sprint, and the other big boys will get it and we will have a chance to see the feedback from their users...